Super Rugby AU is proving to be a really close competition with only 5 points separating the top 4 teams. The Force are a long way distant in last but they have been close to a win a couple of times.
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Western Force v Reds – Reds by 7
The Force have been finding it tough, not only did a bunch of players join just before the scrambled together tournament but they have had to live away from home in NSW. We shouldn’t be surprise that they haven’t won a game yet as they fade away in most of their games.
The Reds really need to pick up a big win here. Their -6 points difference is the worst except for the Force. That could be the difference between making the finals and not. However that points difference is because they have let in more points than any other side in Super Rugby AU. They should win this but I’m not expecting a big margin as they are so inconsistent on defence.
Brumbies v Waratahs – Brumbies by 3
We have all been saying that the Brumbies are clearly the best side in Australia. However they only beat the Tahs by a point and the Red by 2 points. Also they were tripped up by the Rebels last time out. Will they have been able to refocus over the bye weekend or are they a team in decline with their first choice fly-half out for the season?
The Tahs have had 33 and 20 point wins over the last two weeks. Have the finally clicked and are something like the sum of their parts? Up against a structured side I’m not so sure they can maintain that. I am a lot less confident with this pick than I would have been two weeks ago though!
Bye – Rebels
With a poor performance against the Reds last weekend the Rebels really need a week off to sort out their attack. Particularly in the second half they dominated the possession and territory but couldn’t get over the whitewash. They are still very much in the fight for the finals series with two games to go.
Record So Far
9 from 14 or 64% so far, the Rebels really let me down last weekend.
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