Oh boy the Gallagher Premiership has gone totally crazy. We had two games with winning margins of 50 points. Whilst I thought those sides would win I didn’t expect the margins to be anywhere near that big!
With that as an example I expect my margins to be on the low side. I use the margins more as a guide to how confident I am on the prediction than expecting that margin.
Gloucester Rugby v Sale Sharks – Gloucester Rugby by 3
This is a really difficult one for me to pick. Sale have been going well but I just can’t imagine that Gloucester won’t kick into gear at some point. Can missing Heinz be that big a loss? If so that’s poor squad planning as you can’t rely on one player being available.
Sale are much better on the road this season so they are definitely in with a shout here.
Harlequins v Exeter Chiefs – Exeter Chiefs by 5
Exeter have opened up a nice margin at the top of the table and ever since Saracens were docked points, this is what people expected to happen. They are not invincible and have surprisingly lost two games at home. However with European quarter finals over a month away I think they will be putting out as strong a squad as possible. Obviously minus English internationals.
Quins are having a tough old season. Three losses in their last four games sees them slip back down the table. A good run of games will see them back into the European places but I can’t see that starting this weekend.
Leicester Tigers v Worcester Warriors – Leicester Tigers by 3
Eleventh hosts tenth in the table. In other words the weakest two teams are facing each other. Tigers have actually found some form with winning their last two home games.
Worcester on the other hand have lost their last four games on the trot. If you look at the detail though they have been in the fight most of the time. Yes I’m expecting a home win but I think it will be close with Worcester picking up another LBP.
Northampton Saints v Saracens – Northampton Saints by 3
Exeter 57 – 7 Saints & Wasps 60 – 10 Saracens were their results from last weekend. After results like that it’s really hard to know how these sides will turn up this week. Will we see them bouncing back or has the stuffing been knocked out of them?
I’m going with home advantage but I think that Saracens will respond better to the loss than Saints. That’s because those two losses to Leinster in Europe really seemed to impact them earlier in the season.
London Irish v Wasps – London Irish by 3
There was talk that the second half of this season would be an example to what ring-fencing would look like. These are the two sides that have responded to the removal of relegation the best. Irish have gone on a three game winning streak and Wasps have won three out of their last five games. Again I’m going with home advantage also Irish are on a good run of games.
Bath Rugby v Bristol – Bath Rugby by 3
West country derby and another two teams that are tracking well at the moment. Both are on three game winning streaks, clearly that will come to an end for one of even both of them if we get a draw.
Again home advantage is the call here. Bath have a reputation for having the worst pitch in the Premiership, their ground redevelopment can’t come soon enough! That advantage as seen them only lose once at home and whilst Bristol are better away than they were I can’t see them getting this one.
Record So Far
41 from 66 or 62% correct, not helped by a shocking 2 from 6 in the last round.
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